what is black swan theory?
A Black Swan Event is a metaphor for something that occurs unexpectedly, has a major effect, and then inappropriately rationalized through hindsight.
According to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, these events are high-profile, hard to predict, and rare.
What We Do
Plan to Prevail
Exercise Like It's Real
Exercise Like It's Real
- Plan development, coordination, implementation
- Threat and Hazardous Incident Risk Assessment Capability Studies and Mitigation Planning
- Forms-driven resource inventory
- Computer Aided Management of Emergency Operations (CAMEO) Facility Pre-planning
- Facility safety and vulnerability assessment
- Preparedness for individuals, families and organizat
- Plan development, coordination, implementation
- Threat and Hazardous Incident Risk Assessment Capability Studies and Mitigation Planning
- Forms-driven resource inventory
- Computer Aided Management of Emergency Operations (CAMEO) Facility Pre-planning
- Facility safety and vulnerability assessment
- Preparedness for individuals, families and organizations; public and private
- Hazardous Materials Commodity Flow Studies
- Multi-jurisdictional Mass County Measure Dispensing
- Active Shooter and Workplace Violence (in cooperation with Fortress Preparedness Services)
Exercise Like It's Real
Exercise Like It's Real
Exercise Like It's Real
- Homeland Security Exercise and Evaluation Program structured events to test and document your capabilities and areas of improvement
- Games, seminars, table-top, functional and full-scale exercise using a building block approach
- Packaging from planning to exercise conclusion
- Realistic scenarios derived from your priortized risk and facility vu
- Homeland Security Exercise and Evaluation Program structured events to test and document your capabilities and areas of improvement
- Games, seminars, table-top, functional and full-scale exercise using a building block approach
- Packaging from planning to exercise conclusion
- Realistic scenarios derived from your priortized risk and facility vulnerability assessments
- One capability or many; local focus to multi-agency and jurisdiction
- Resource management wargames
- 2 Minute Drill: Exercises for meetings and call-ins
- Local Emergency Planning Council exercises
- Policy Group strategic games and table-tops
- Core Four Healthcare Coalition packages
- Professional debrief sessions, After Action Reviews and Corrective Action/Improvement Planning
- Webinars and Conference Calls
- Positive coaching, facilitation and evaluation
Train as You Fight
Exercise Like It's Real
Train as You Fight
- Preparedness for Individuals, Families, Businesses and Organizations
- Incident Command System 100, 200, 300 and 400
- Incident Command System/Hospital Incident Command System Forms Workshop
- FEMA G402 Incident Command System Overview for Executives and Senior Officials (can be customized for Hospital and Corporate Executives)
- FEMA G191 Incident C
- Preparedness for Individuals, Families, Businesses and Organizations
- Incident Command System 100, 200, 300 and 400
- Incident Command System/Hospital Incident Command System Forms Workshop
- FEMA G402 Incident Command System Overview for Executives and Senior Officials (can be customized for Hospital and Corporate Executives)
- FEMA G191 Incident Command System/Emergency Operations Center Interface
- Agency specific capabilities oriented training
- Customized training to teach you any of our preparedness service methods
- Training program development and management
About Black Swan Preparedness
Our Commitment
Who is Black Swan Preparedness?
Who is Black Swan Preparedness?
Preparedness is largely funded by the taxpayer, except where generous donations of volunteer time complete successful programs. Accountability to taxpayers is the cornerstone of our service. Fiscal responsibility while managing your project means that each penny will directly enhance vigilance and resilience. If our service does not result in improved capability, you do not pay.
Business, small and large, recognizes the priority for preparedness, but is challenged to find funding when customer value and profitability dominate effective spending. If our service does not make your environment more prepared, you do not pay.
Preparedness is often an additional duty. Regular duties challenge the emergency manager for adequate time and attention. Our services leverage your time and strengthen your own success.
Lastly, responders, volunteers and emergency preparedness focuses individuals do not always work 9-5. Their ability to get training and exerciser should not be a 9-5 endeavor as well. We accommodate all shifts and schedules with no extra fees or surcharge. We work when you work.
Who is Black Swan Preparedness?
Who is Black Swan Preparedness?
Who is Black Swan Preparedness?
Chad Jenkins has more than a decade of experience in local emergency management and preparedness. He is a retired Chief Master Sergeant from the USAF Reserve's 920th Rescue Wing and has 23 years of experience conducting strategic planning, providing intelligence support to combat search and rescue/medical evacuation missions, and developing world class intelligence specialists. He is an accomplished speaker, instructor and facilitator of preparedness, intelligence, homeland security and leadership.
Copyright © 2022 Black Swan Preparedness - All Rights Reserved.
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